Hedge Betting Reliance Factors - UK/European Divisions

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HOME WIN CALLS		Full Week (Mon - Sun)
Week No. 39	Week Beginning: 22 Apr 2024	Season: 2023-2024

The following shows the "Correct Scores" Reliance Factors up to the end of the previous week (until midnight on Sunday), listed in order of Reliability, based on the past 10 matches played at either the Home or Away venue (as appropriate) for all Staying Teams (not for Promoted or Relegated Teams). In theory, the "Average" Reliance Factors ought to indicate where it is worth doing hedge betting with Correct Scores (usually to a maximum of 4 alternative score-lines).


1	27 Apr 18:00	Benfica L v Sp Braga	PP	3 - 1	3 - 1	30.00	24.00	27.00	6.00
2	23 Apr 20:00	Leicester C v Southampton	EC	2 - 1	5 - 0	30.00	14.00	22.00	16.00
3	27 Apr 15:00	Huddersfield v Birmingham C	EC	1 - 0	1 - 1	29.50	25.00	27.25	4.50
4	27 Apr 15:00	Horsham v Concord R	RY	2 - 1	2 - 0	28.50	26.50	27.50	2.00
5	27 Apr 12:30	Derby C v Carlisle U	E1	3 - 0	2 - 0	27.00	19.50	23.25	7.50
6	27 Apr 15:00	Milton KD v Sutton U	E2	2 - 1	4 - 4	26.50	9.00	17.75	17.50
7	24 Apr 17:45	Twente v Almere City	NE	2 - 1	3 - 1	26.00	7.00	16.50	19.00
8	27 Apr 14:00	Inter Milan v Torino	IS	2 - 0	2 - 0	26.00	19.00	22.50	7.00
9	27 Apr 17:00	Fenerbahce I v Besiktas I	TS	3 - 1	2 - 1	25.00	12.50	18.75	12.50
10	24 Apr 20:00	Monaco v Lille	FL	1 - 0	1 - 0	25.00	10.50	17.75	14.50
11	27 Apr 15:00	Hornchurch v Kingstonian	RY	7 - 0	2 - 1	24.00	21.00	22.50	3.00
12	24 Apr 20:00	Manchester U v Sheffield U	EP	4 - 0	4 - 2	23.50	13.00	18.25	10.50
13	27 Apr 15:00	Manchester U v Burnley	EP	2 - 1	1 - 1	23.50	5.50	14.50	18.00
14	27 Apr 15:00	Norwich C v Swansea	EC	2 - 1	2 - 2	23.50	22.50	23.00	1.00
15	28 Apr 17:00	Atalanta v Empoli FC	IS	2 - 0	2 - 0	23.50	13.50	18.50	10.00
16	28 Apr 14:00	Bologna v Udinese	IS	2 - 0	1 - 1	23.50	14.50	19.00	9.00
17	27 Apr 15:00	Southampton v Stoke C	EC	2 - 1	0 - 1	23.00	5.50	14.25	17.50
18	27 Apr 15:00	Wolves v Luton T	EP	2 - 1	2 - 1	22.50	20.00	21.25	2.50
19	27 Apr 17:30	Bayer L v Stuttgart	GB	3 - 1	2 - 2	22.00	14.50	18.25	7.50
20	27 Apr 20:00	A Madrid v A Bilbao	SL	3 - 1	3 - 1	21.50	16.50	19.00	5.00
21	28 Apr 17:00	Trabzonspor v Gazisehir G	TS	2 - 1	4 - 2	21.50	8.50	15.00	13.00
22	27 Apr 19:45	Lazio v Hellas V	IS	2 - 0	1 - 0	21.00	17.00	19.00	4.00
23	28 Apr 20:00	R Betis v Sevilla	SL	2 - 1	1 - 1	21.00	13.50	17.25	7.50
24	27 Apr 14:30	B Munich v E Frankfurt	GB	3 - 1	2 - 1	20.50	13.50	17.00	7.00
25	27 Apr 15:00	Leamington v Sudbury	MA	2 - 1	2 - 0	20.50	17.00	18.75	3.50
26	28 Apr 14:00	Pendikspor v Kayserispor	TS	1 - 0	1 - 2	20.50	13.00	16.75	7.50
27	27 Apr 14:00	Sivasspor v Konyaspor	TS	1 - 0	1 - 0	20.00	11.50	15.75	8.50
28	27 Apr 15:00	Whitehawk v Potters BT	RY	2 - 1	2 - 1	20.00	13.00	16.50	7.00
29	27 Apr 15:00	Kilmarnock v Hearts	SP	2 - 1	0 - 0	20.00	29.00	24.50	9.00
30	24 Apr 20:00	Marseille v Nice	FL	1 - 0	2 - 2	19.50	4.00	11.75	15.50
31	28 Apr 20:00	Marseille v Lens	FL	1 - 0	2 - 1	19.50	19.50	19.50	0.00
32	23 Apr 20:00	Arsenal v Chelsea	EP	2 - 1	5 - 0	19.00	25.00	22.00	6.00
33	27 Apr 12:30	Wigan A v Bristol R	E1	2 - 1	2 - 0	19.00	17.00	18.00	2.00
34	27 Apr 15:00	Mickleover v Stamford	MA	2 - 1	3 - 0	19.00	19.00	19.00	0.00
35	27 Apr 15:00	Basford U v Bamber B	UN	2 - 1	4 - 0	18.50	21.50	20.00	3.00
36	27 Apr 15:00	Aberdeen v Motherwell	SP	2 - 1	1 - 0	18.50	8.00	13.25	10.50
37	24 Apr 19:45	Coventry C v Hull C	EC	2 - 1	2 - 3	18.00	20.50	19.25	2.50
38	27 Apr 20:30	V Guimaraes v Boavista	PP	2 - 1	1 - 0	17.50	13.50	15.50	4.00
39	27 Apr 20:00	Paris SG v Le Havre	FL	3 - 0	3 - 3	17.50	19.00	18.25	1.50
40	27 Apr 15:00	St. Johnstone v Hibernian	SP	1 - 0	1 - 3	17.50	10.00	13.75	7.50
41	27 Apr 15:00	Bristol C v Rotherham U	EC	3 - 0	2 - 0	17.00	30.00	23.50	13.00
42	26 Apr 19:45	Frosinone v Salernitana	IS	2 - 1	3 - 0	16.50	23.00	19.75	6.50
43	27 Apr 14:30	RB Leipzig v Borussia D	GB	2 - 1	4 - 1	16.50	19.50	18.00	3.00
44	28 Apr 19:45	Fiorentina v Sassuolo	IS	3 - 0	5 - 1	16.50	22.00	19.25	5.50
45	27 Apr 15:00	Workington v Guiseley	UN	2 - 1	2 - 1	16.50	28.00	22.25	11.50
46	26 Apr 20:00	Montpellier v Nantes	FL	2 - 1	1 - 1	15.50	15.00	15.25	0.50
47	27 Apr 15:00	Bradford C v Newport C	E2	2 - 1	4 - 1	15.50	11.00	13.25	4.50
48	27 Apr 15:00	Matlock T v Bradford PA	UN	2 - 1	5 - 2	15.50	15.00	15.25	0.50
49	27 Apr 15:00	Millwall v Plymouth A	EC	1 - 0	1 - 0	15.50	27.00	21.25	11.50
50	27 Apr 15:00	Stenhousmuir v Bonnyrigg R	S2	2 - 1	1 - 1	15.00	17.00	16.00	2.00
51	27 Apr 15:30	Casa Pia v Chaves	PP	1 - 0	3 - 1	15.00	10.50	12.75	4.50
52	28 Apr 14:00	Alanyaspor v Istanbulspor	TS	2 - 1	6 - 0	15.00	16.00	15.50	1.00
53	23 Apr 19:45	Barrow v Bradford C	E2	2 - 1	1 - 2	15.00	9.50	12.25	5.50
54	27 Apr 15:00	Gillingham v Doncaster R	E2	1 - 0	2 - 2	15.00	8.00	11.50	7.00
55	27 Apr 15:00	Nuneaton B v Kettering T	MA	2 - 1	P - P	14.50	18.00	16.25	3.50
56	27 Apr 15:00	Billericay T v Margate	RY	2 - 1	5 - 3	14.50	17.00	15.75	2.50
57	22 Apr 17:30	Roma v Bologna	IS	2 - 1	1 - 3	14.00	10.00	12.00	4.00
58	27 Apr 15:00	Dumbarton v Elgin City	S2	3 - 0	2 - 2	14.00	12.00	13.00	2.00
59	28 Apr 14:30	Borussia M v Union Berlin	GB	2 - 1	0 - 0	13.50	13.50	13.50	0.00
60	28 Apr 11:15	Zwolle v Heracles	NE	1 - 0	3 - 1	13.50	24.00	18.75	10.50
61	27 Apr 15:00	Crawley T v Grimsby T	E2	2 - 1	2 - 0	13.50	9.00	11.25	4.50
62	27 Apr 15:00	Hashtag U v Cheshunt	RY	2 - 1	3 - 3	13.00	15.00	14.00	2.00
63	28 Apr 17:00	Rizespor v Ankaragucu MKE	TS	2 - 1	2 - 2	13.00	31.00	22.00	18.00
64	27 Apr 15:00	Morpeth T v Stafford R	UN	3 - 1	6 - 0	13.00	22.00	17.50	9.00
65	27 Apr 15:00	Fulham v Crystal P	EP	2 - 1	1 - 1	13.00	8.50	10.75	4.50
66	27 Apr 15:00	Bognor RT v Folkestone I	RY	2 - 1	4 - 0	12.50	14.00	13.25	1.50
67	27 Apr 12:30	Reading v Blackpool	E1	2 - 1	3 - 2	12.50	20.50	16.50	8.00
68	27 Apr 17:30	Everton v Brentford	EP	2 - 1	1 - 0	12.00	11.50	11.75	0.50
69	27 Apr 15:00	Royston T v Stratford T	MA	2 - 1	2 - 3	12.00	8.50	10.25	3.50
70	27 Apr 12:30	Wycombe W v Charlton A	E1	1 - 0	1 - 0	12.00	11.50	11.75	0.50
71	27 Apr 14:30	Augsburg v Werder B	GB	2 - 1	0 - 3	12.00	15.00	13.50	3.00
72	27 Apr 15:00	Newcastle U v Sheffield U	EP	5 - 0	5 - 1	11.50	13.00	12.25	1.50
73	27 Apr 14:30	Freiburg v Wolfsburg	GB	2 - 1	1 - 2	11.50	14.00	12.75	2.50
74	27 Apr 15:00	St Ives T v Alvechurch	MA	3 - 1	3 - 2	11.50	23.00	17.25	11.50
75	27 Apr 12:30	Stevenage B v Cheltenham T	E1	2 - 0	2 - 1	10.50	24.00	17.25	13.50
76	28 Apr 16:30	Mainz 05 v Koln	GB	2 - 1	1 - 1	10.00	14.00	12.00	4.00
77	27 Apr 14:00	Lecce v Monza	IS	1 - 0	1 - 1	9.50	11.00	10.25	1.50
78	27 Apr 12:30	Barnsley v Northampton	E1	2 - 1	1 - 1	8.50	14.50	11.50	6.00
79	27 Apr 15:00	Wimbledon v Walsall	E2	2 - 1	5 - 1	8.50	8.50	8.50	0.00
80	26 Apr 19:30	Bochum v Hoffenheim	GB	2 - 1	3 - 2	8.00	24.00	16.00	16.00
81	27 Apr 15:00	Dulwich H v Cray W	RY	2 - 1	2 - 6	8.00	17.00	12.50	9.00
82	24 Apr 20:00	Ajax v Excelsior	NE	3 - 1	2 - 2	7.50	7.50	7.50	0.00
83	22 Apr 20:00	Sevilla v Mallorca	SL	1 - 0	2 - 1	6.50	19.50	13.00	13.00
84	28 Apr 13:00	N Cadiz v Mallorca	SL	1 - 0	1 - 1	6.50	19.50	13.00	13.00
85	27 Apr 20:00	Aston V v Chelsea	EP	3 - 1	2 - 2	6.00	25.00	15.50	19.00
86	27 Apr 15:00	Accrington S v Tranmere R	E2	1 - 0	4 - 1	5.50	17.50	11.50	12.00
87	28 Apr 13:30	Sparta v Volendam	NE	3 - 1	1 - 0	3.00	11.50	7.25	8.50
Total Correct Calls				52
Total Correct Score Hits				11

The above figures are "relative" only, and relate to how near to (or far away from) the ACTUAL Score-Lines the Program's originally posted "Anticipated Scorelines" (ASL's) have been, looking backwards over the past 10 matches.

If the "Hedge Betting Reliance Factor" for a team is low, then it means that the ASL has been way off the mark many times, and therefore that team's ASL is unreliable and inappropriate for use when deciding Correct Scores "Hedge Betting".

ASL = Our Anticipated Score-Line
Act Res = Actual Result (once known)
Avg = Average Reliabilities
Diff = Difference in Hedge Betting Reliance Factor Italicised score-line = relegated and/or promoted teams playing